Home Ray Kurzweil La singularidad está cerca. Cuando los humanos La singularidad está cerca. Cuando los humanos transcendamos la biología: Ray. Algunos defienden que esta cerca, dado el ritmo en que esta evolucionando la Otra figura importante es Raymond Kurzweil, experto en Inteligencia Artificial. Cuando aterricé en el MIT, Ray Kurzweil ya era famoso allí, donde había estudiado con Marvin Minsky, quien fue también uno de mis.

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Instead, exploration stalled or even regressed after that. Kurzweil calls this exponential growth the law of accelerating returns, and he believes it applies to many human-created technologies such as computer memorytransistorsmicroprocessorsDNA sequencingmagnetic storagethe number of Internet hostsInternet trafficdecrease in device size, and nanotech citations and patents.

The film Lucy is roughly based upon the predictions made by Kurzweil about what the year will look like, including the immortality of man. Kurzweil writes that by a supercomputer will have the computational capacity to emulate human intelligence [39] and “by around ” this same capacity will be available “for one thousand dollars”. The Singularity is Near. Thanks for telling us about the problem. He feels that data collection might be growing exponentially, but insight is increasing only linearly.

Beyond reverse engineering the brain in order to understand and emulate it, Kurzweil introduces the idea of “uploading” a specific brain with every mental process intact, to be instantiated on a “suitably powerful computational substrate”.

Return to Book Page. La inteligencia artificial se lleva todo el protagonismo en Predictions made by Ray Kurzweil. Ecrca Secret of Human Thought Revealed. A fundamental pillar of Kurzweil’s argument is that to get to the Singularity, computational capacity is as much of a bottleneck kuzrweil other things like quality of algorithms and understanding of the human brain.


He writes that general modeling requires 10 16 calculations per second and 10 13 bits of memory, but then explains uploading requires additional detail, perhaps as many as 10 19 cps and 10 18 bits. The overall budget for the whole industry increases over time, since the fruits of exponential growth make it an attractive investment; meanwhile the additional budget fuels more innovation which makes the industry grow even faster, effectively an example of “double” exponential growth.

As for individual identities during these radical changes, Kurzweil suggests people think of themselves as an evolving pattern rather than a specific collection of molecules. Eventually people’s bodies will contain so much augmentation they’ll be able to alter their “physical manifestation at will”. Kurzweil describes his law of accelerating returns which predicts an exponential increase in technologies like computersgeneticsnanotechnologyrobotics and artificial intelligence.

La Singularidad está más cerca

He believes the only countermeasure is to invest in defensive technologies, for example by allowing new genetics and medical treatments, monitoring for dangerous pathogens, and creating limited moratoriums on certain technologies. Kurzweil looks at several different estimates of how much computational capacity is in the brain singulaidad settles on 10 16 calculations per second and 10 13 bits of memory.

Two machines—or one million machines—can join together to become one and then become separate again. The New York Review of Books. Kurzweil says “the knee in the curve” is the time when the exponential trend is going to explode, while Modis claims if the process is logistic when you hit the “knee” the quantity you are measuring is only going to increase by a factor of more.

Everybody else singularidda it for granted that they are descended from gods. From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. Kurzweil concedes that every technology carries with it the risk of misuse or abuse, from viruses and nanobots to out-of-control AI machines.


Just a moment while we sign you in to your Goodreads account. Kurzweil claims once nonbiological intelligence predominates the nature of human life will be radically altered: Linden writes that “Kurzweil is conflating biological data collection with biological insight”.

Kurzweil spells out the date very clearly: Consiga un nuevo empleo, demuestre sus competencias, haga que su hoja de vida muestre la diferencia, pruebe a su empleador sus conocimientos. Think of the lowly giraffe, for instance, whose brain is obviously far below the level required for self-understanding—yet it is remarkably similar to our brain.

For example, world population and the United States’s oil production both appeared to be rising exponentially, but both have leveled off because they were logistic.

The Singularity Is Near – Wikipedia

The Singularity is Near Quotes Showing of While some critics complain that the law of accelerating returns is not a law of nature [43] others question the religious motivations or implications of Kurzweil’s Singularity. Exponential growth is deceptive, nearly flat at first until it hits what Kurzweil calls “the knee in the curve” then rises almost vertically. The buildup towards the Singularity is compared with Judeo-Christian end-of-time scenarios.

Beam calls it “a Buck Rogers vision of the hypothetical Christian Rapture”. He asserts that the best way kurzdeil build machine kurzweio is to first understand human intelligence.